Category: Volatility

1 post categorized as "Volatility"

Looking Forward Not Backward When Estimating Volatility

December 1, 2016

When you drive a car, you need to look out your front window and not the rear-view mirror. The same should be true for estimating risk in financial markets. Ironically, most of the “low volatility” products use backward looking information regardless of whether they emphasize low beta or low historical volatility. Typically, this estimation window…

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